Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.033683 0.039241 0.045357 0.052577 0.060859 0.070051 0.081016
2025-08-31 0.024674 0.031727 0.040212 0.051130 0.064765 0.081186 0.102414
2025-09-07 0.020200 0.028292 0.038798 0.053345 0.072858 0.098010 0.132746
2025-09-14 0.016266 0.024608 0.036204 0.053339 0.077815 0.111282 0.160216
2025-09-21 0.012992 0.021096 0.033088 0.051882 0.080286 0.121218 0.184161
2025-09-28 0.010748 0.018618 0.030943 0.051311 0.083686 0.132569 0.211154
2025-10-05 0.009714 0.017817 0.031158 0.054250 0.092597 0.152872 0.253534
2025-10-12 0.008682 0.016810 0.030833 0.056183 0.100024 0.171540 0.295231
2025-10-19 0.007295 0.014908 0.028674 0.054651 0.101408 0.180505 0.322053
2025-10-26 0.006302 0.013551 0.027244 0.054134 0.104360 0.192209 0.354405
2025-11-02 0.005341 0.012075 0.025355 0.052470 0.104970 0.199812 0.380259
2025-11-09 0.004577 0.010860 0.023771 0.051132 0.105942 0.208023 0.407808
2025-11-16 0.004041 0.010052 0.022908 0.051153 0.109623 0.221750 0.447198
2025-11-23 0.003465 0.009047 0.021483 0.049821 0.110459 0.230208 0.477575
2025-11-30 0.003241 0.008825 0.021714 0.052024 0.118754 0.253883 0.539519
2025-12-07 0.002889 0.008221 0.020995 0.052039 0.122433 0.268731 0.585401
2025-12-14 0.002496 0.007436 0.019729 0.050626 0.122828 0.276889 0.618465
2025-12-21 0.002206 0.006865 0.018885 0.050073 0.125045 0.289014 0.660793
2025-12-28 0.002124 0.006854 0.019434 0.052948 0.135425 0.319523 0.744718
2026-01-04 0.001998 0.006696 0.019580 0.054840 0.143698 0.346165 0.822560
2026-01-11 0.001743 0.006094 0.018458 0.053342 0.143650 0.354251 0.860254
2026-01-18 0.001557 0.005671 0.017754 0.052837 0.145970 0.367905 0.911594
2026-01-25 0.001356 0.005152 0.016692 0.051211 0.145257 0.374414 0.947104